Once
upon a time we knew what we knew. We
knew that our faces and fingers would freeze when we went outside, and we could
look at the sky and look for clouds darkening the blue sky. And we had hope. For us little kids, a heart bursting with
hope that those beautiful geometric flakes would soon flutter down to cover the
ground for sledding. And cancel school.
I grew
up in a time before cable television and personal computers. We did not suffer from the lack of The
Weather Channel or a plethora of weather websites or apps to check every
two-and-a-half minutes. I did, however,
check the thermometer mounted outside the kitchen window often during a
cold-snap. I would keep an eye on the
horizon for incoming clouds, hopefully dark and fat, promising glorious fluffy
flakes.
Even the
old-school forecasters had their hands tied to a certain degree. Satellite imagery didn’t exist and the
multiple international computer models that currently monitor the weather
patterns were, frankly, science fiction!
The weather-guys of my youth depended upon data from various weather
stations, using numerical probability and observation to give us their best
guesses. The lack of certainty kept hope
alive.
To receive
these not always accurate prognostications you had to read the morning
newspaper, catch the nightly news or listen to radio broadcasts. There were no up-to-the-minute weather apps on
your mobile phone to inform you of the slightest variation in the
forecast. Compared to today’s
technology, there wasn’t a whole lot of certainty to these forecasts. Mostly, you kept a hopeful heart and
daydreamed about the snow people to be built while sharpening the blades on
your toboggan.
This
week of frigid temperatures and murmurings about snow has raised and dashed the
hopes of myself and my daughters over and over again. The long-term forecasts mention the possibility
and we squeal with delight, only to have our joy dampened by the darned way-too
accurate computer models that tell us that the chances have dwindled. Each chance of cold clashing with clouds is
grabbed from our hands before we can make a snowball. Rather than joyfully anticipating the days
off from school, we are long-faced with disappointment as the websites replace
the snowflake graphics of the future with pictures of sloppy rain drops.
The fact
is we know too much. Technology and
science have taken away the thrilling suspense that comes with winter cold and
the sweet possibility of snow play. I
think I need to stop reading the forecasts from the National Weather Service,
checking all of the blogs and sites and go with some old-fashioned hope. Tonight I will again don my PJs inside out,
place a spoon under my pillow and dream of lofty white fluff. That’s all I can do.
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